Are you ready to take your stock trading results to a whole new
level of success?
How would you like to have
access to a complete breakdown of top-producing high flying stocks delivered right to your computer on a
weekly basis? And we're not just talking about a handful of stocks here and there either, but rather up to a
whopping 200 stocks each and every week!
Let's face it--deciding what to do with one's investment dollars can
be a very confusing, if not daunting, process. With ever-changing market conditions and the vast multitude of
vehicles available to the investor it can even seem to be downright overwhelming.
You have probably been exposed to some of the hype that exists
out in the marketplace when it comes to stock trading. Somehow there are those out there
that claim to never (or very rarely) even have a losing trade. Some will also take credit for the top
price a stock achieves within a certain time frame--as if you should have had the incredible foresight to sell
right at that peak price. Oh, wouldn't it be nice to have that type of crystal ball in your
possession?
By contrast, we strive to take what could be viewed as a more
revolutionary approach and actually honestly examine the results--both the good and the not so good. In a nutshell,
NowVest is an investment research company always looking to improve results while also maintaining a
realistic real-world perspective.
So let's bring a little realism to the table here. How is that for a
refreshing idea? As you know, the S&P 500 index has often been seen as an overall gauge of the broad
markets as a whole. It is a target that many strive to shoot for. Incredibly however, an extremely large
number of highly-paid professional money managers (estimates seen as high as 80% or even more?) do not
achieve gains better than the benchmark S&P 500 on average.
Please understand that this is not to shed stock trading
overall in a negative light whatsoever. In fact, quite the opposite is true. That is what has us so
excited. At NowVest, we believe we have actually developed a rather simple (not complex or arbitrary) but very
powerful stock ranking and trading methodology. Quite simply, we believe the underlying principles flat-out just
make sense, and will continue to do so in the future. So why are we so confident it will continue to be
successful in the future? Because it operates on a set of only a few simple and powerfully effective rules
rather than some complex obscure ones form-fitted to every situation. Based on tried and true tested
principles, there is really nothing "magical" about it.
Essentially,
the NowVest Stock Pullbacks
(NSP) system has withstood the test of
time in studies starting from 3/31/01 (just a bit into the new 21st century). Keep in mind that
during that time there have been trendy markets, choppy markets, a solid bull market in 2003, and a bear market in
2008 which rivaled the worst of all-time. Through it all this method has managed to persevere...displaying a
downright explosive performance during the 2003 bull market while also effectively managing risk and greatly
limiting the downside when markets turn bearish. By comparison, it is interesting to point out that here at the end
of 2009 the S&P 500 still trails where it was at back on 3/31/01.
Now one may inquire as to why this methodology was first born in
2001. Why does the data not go further back? For a quick answer, that is the date when some of the historical
fundamental data studied was first available to us. While much of the technical data and price information
was easy to gather, the same could not be said for the availability of some of the "fundamental"
data. Believe me, we would absolutely LOVE to take the studies further back in time. Here is why. Just
consider these absolutely stellar numbers from 1985-1999 which came to be the longest, most sustained stock rally
in U.S. history. Over that 15 year period the Dow Jones Industrials Index produced just one measly losing
year...and it was only -4.3% at that. The other 14 all posted yearly gains with 11 of them coming in at
double-digits, and even more impressively, 8 years added on more than +20% to the bottom-line. Overall, the Dow
increased by almost a whopping 750% and the S&P 500 exploded by more than 675% during that
period. Impressive indeed! So yes, that time frame from 1985-1999 was
sure a good one to be involved in stock trading. Remember that when analyzing any past results however. How often
will that extreme bullishness repeat again in the future?
Putting that past history aside, let's now move ahead to
the 21st century, and the dawning of the NSP system. A much more volatile,
difficult period to navigate to be sure. Looking at the overall numbers, the S&P 500 had
actually DECLINED
by a total of -22% from 3/31/01 to the end of 2008. Quite a far cry from
the +675% achieved during the 1985-1999 time-frame.
Thus the NSP was unveiled during a much more
challenging time period. For starters, let's jump right in and take a look at some performance figures. Below
is a simple chart of the "NSP Value Plus" Method when compared against
the S&P 500. By the way, the "NSP Value Plus" is a component of the NSP system, and will be explained in
much greater detail later.
|
Year
|
NSP Value Plus
|
S&P 500
|
|
2001
|
107.9% *
|
(- 1.4%) *
|
|
2002
|
108.3%
|
(-23.4%)
|
|
2003
|
320.7%
|
26.4%
|
|
2004
|
90.0%
|
9.0%
|
|
2005
|
65.4%
|
3.0%
|
|
2006
|
84.4%
|
13.6%
|
|
2007
|
50.3%
|
3.5%
|
|
2008
|
24.8%
|
(-38.5%)
|
|
2009
|
121.8%
|
23.5%
|
* (Results achieved from 3/31/01-12/31/01 are annualized across the full year)
As you can see, the returns turned in by the NSP Value Plus are
extremely impressive, to say the least. In most cases, the NSP Value Plus was at least
10 times better than the S&P even.
Look at the one stellar year turned in by the S&P with a +26.4%
gain. In that particularly bullish year the NSP Value Plus gained an out of this world +320.7% itself. Now of
course that is great when the environment is all well and good, but how does the NSP hold up when the
overall markets are in a tailspin instead? One example can be seen in 2002 when the NSP Value Plus would
have gained +107.9% while the S&P 500 dropped a bearish -23.4%.
The recently completed year 2008 takes on a meaning all its own
however. Everyone knows the negative story associated with that one-- everything from a struggling
economy, high unemployment rates, and an earth-shaking decline in the S&P 500 of -38.5%, and a -33.8% tumble
for the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrials Index. To put that into perspective a bit, it was the 3rd largest single
year loss in the Dow in the last 109 years. Yes, you read that right. 109 years! Even with that extreme overall
market breakdown however, the NSP Value Plus still managed to churn out a stunning gain of +24.8% in the midst
of all the adversity.
Forging ahead, the NSP was fully rolled out into real-time in
the middle part of 2009...and the strong performances have continued to roll on as well. Yes, the NSP Value
Plus produced a triple digit gain over +121% for the year. Check the "Updates" in the upper right of this page for
more ongoing up-to-date results.
For a peek into what could potentially happen on a compound basis with returns such as
those posted above see the next chart below. It shows that a hypothetical ONE-TIME investment of $10,000 could have grown all the way up to
over $4 million by 2009 by re-investing, and with no additional money at all ever being added to the
original stake. By comparison, $10,000 invested in the S&P 500 would have actually slipped to just under
$9,600 over that very same time period. While attaining those accomplishments are all MUCH
easier said than done due to a variety of factors, it does at least display the dominance exhibited by
the NSP. That also brings back into memory just how many money managers struggle to even keep pace
with that very same benchmark S&P 500.

So there you have it. Very impressive performance indeed! With that being said, let's now focus in
on the nitty-gritty details of where the numbers originated from.
To learn more details about the NSP System please click here
|